August 13, 2011
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Donald Cerrone |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 063 | 1 153 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +33 |
Donald Cerrone overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 5 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Charles Oliveira.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Donald Cerrone |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 008 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Donald Cerrone |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:01 | 3:01 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 120 | 1 224 |
| ELO Change | -48 | +102 |
Donald Cerrone earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 3:01, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Donald Cerrone |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 10 | 30 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 29 | 60 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 10 | 32 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 032 | 1 176 |
| ELO Change | -93 | +93 |
Donald Cerrone controlled the striking exchanges with 32 vs 10 total strikes, 30 vs 10 significant strikes, 50.0% vs 34.5% accuracy. Donald Cerrone capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Donald Cerrone |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:12 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 15 |
| Ground ELO | 1 059 | 1 261 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +33 |
Donald Cerrone controlled Charles Oliveira on the ground with 15 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Donald Cerrone |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 49 | 64 |
| Activity ELO | 1 102 | 1 141 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +74 |
Donald Cerrone demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 64 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Donald Cerrone capitalized on this activity level, while Charles Oliveira's 49-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Donald Cerrone |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 017 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +26 |
Donald Cerrone extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Charles Oliveira is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Donald Cerrone |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 008 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.