January 27, 2012
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Eric Wisely |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 089 | 974 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Charles Oliveira's 5-fight experience advantage (6 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Charles Oliveira for the expected result. Had Eric Wisely pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Eric Wisely |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 029 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Eric Wisely |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:43 | 1:43 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 173 | 972 |
| ELO Change | +53 | -28 |
Charles Oliveira earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 1:43, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Eric Wisely |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 6 | 2 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 12 | 4 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 7 | 3 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 075 | 957 |
| ELO Change | +43 | -43 |
Charles Oliveira slightly outperformed the striking exchanges. Charles Oliveira capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Eric Wisely |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:35 | 0:06 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 159 | 900 |
| ELO Change | +100 | -100 |
Charles Oliveira dominated Eric Wisely on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 0:35 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Eric Wisely |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 168 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 128 | 985 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -15 |
Charles Oliveira demonstrated solid activity levels with 168 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Charles Oliveira capitalized on this activity level, while Eric Wisely's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Eric Wisely |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 039 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -20 |
Charles Oliveira started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Eric Wisely is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Eric Wisely |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 029 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.