June 27, 2014
Featherweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Hatsu Hioki |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 112 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Charles Oliveira's 4-fight experience advantage (11 vs 7 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Charles Oliveira for the expected result. Had Hatsu Hioki pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Hatsu Hioki |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 055 | 987 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Hatsu Hioki |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:32 | 4:32 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 231 | 1 030 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -27 |
Charles Oliveira earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 4:32, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Hatsu Hioki was submitted.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Hatsu Hioki |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 24 | 11 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 38 | 27 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 33 | 31 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 083 | 1 010 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -32 |
Charles Oliveira edged the striking exchanges with 24 vs 11 significant strikes, 63.2% vs 40.7% accuracy. Charles Oliveira capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Hatsu Hioki |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:23 | 5:57 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 7 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 302 | 1 014 |
| ELO Change | +53 | -53 |
Charles Oliveira dominated Hatsu Hioki on the ground with 3 takedowns, 2:23 of control time, 7 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Hatsu Hioki |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 133 | 119 |
| Activity ELO | 1 168 | 1 030 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -16 |
Charles Oliveira demonstrated solid activity levels with 133 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Charles Oliveira capitalized on this activity level, while Hatsu Hioki's 119-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Hatsu Hioki |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 069 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -19 |
Charles Oliveira extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Hatsu Hioki is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Hatsu Hioki |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 050 | 986 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.