December 10, 2010
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | -6 | 6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 092 | 1 213 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Jim Miller's 6-fight experience advantage (9 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jim Miller for the expected result. Had Charles Oliveira pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 028 | 1 137 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:59 | 1:59 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 168 | 1 379 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +50 |
Jim Miller earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 1:59, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 5 | 1 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 8 | 6 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 8 | 6 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 125 | 1 312 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +12 |
Charles Oliveira controlled the striking through superior accuracy (62.5% vs 16.7%). However, since Charles Oliveira lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Jim Miller's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 1:31 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 092 | 1 403 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Jim Miller controlled Charles Oliveira on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:31 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 88 | 88 |
| Activity ELO | 1 127 | 1 338 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +35 |
Jim Miller demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 88 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Jim Miller capitalized on this activity level, while Charles Oliveira's 88-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 6 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 037 | 1 198 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +35 |
Jim Miller continued building serious momentum with a 6-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Charles Oliveira's now at 0.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 028 | 1 136 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.