December 14, 2018
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 22 | 31 |
| Experience Gap | -9 | 9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 226 | 1 077 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -24 |
Charles Oliveira overcame a 9-fight experience disadvantage (22 vs 31 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Jim Miller.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 114 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:15 | 1:15 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 419 | 1 224 |
| ELO Change | +55 | -29 |
Charles Oliveira earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 1:15, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 1 | 2 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 197 | 1 089 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
Virtually no striking took place with only 1 total significant strikes exchanged. Both fighters immediately engaged in grappling, making striking analysis irrelevant to this fight.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:47 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 317 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Charles Oliveira controlled Jim Miller on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 0:47 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 85 | 99 |
| Activity ELO | 1 341 | 1 297 |
| ELO Change | +72 | -24 |
Charles Oliveira demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 85 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Charles Oliveira capitalized on this activity level, while Jim Miller's 99-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 159 | 1 106 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -21 |
Charles Oliveira extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jim Miller is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 108 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.