May 31, 2012
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Jonathan Brookins |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 115 | 1 007 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Charles Oliveira's 3-fight experience advantage (7 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Charles Oliveira for the expected result. Had Jonathan Brookins pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Jonathan Brookins |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 050 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Jonathan Brookins |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:42 | 2:42 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 228 | 1 083 |
| ELO Change | +55 | -36 |
Charles Oliveira earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 2:42, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Jonathan Brookins was submitted.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Jonathan Brookins |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 42 | 27 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 76 | 74 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 48 | 27 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 110 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -35 |
Charles Oliveira controlled the striking exchanges with 48 vs 27 total strikes, 42 vs 27 significant strikes, 55.3% vs 36.5% accuracy. Charles Oliveira capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Jonathan Brookins |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:59 | 1:07 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 270 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | +111 | -111 |
Charles Oliveira dominated Jonathan Brookins on the ground with 1 takedown, 0:59 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Jonathan Brookins |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 125 | 107 |
| Activity ELO | 1 160 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -16 |
Charles Oliveira demonstrated solid activity levels with 125 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Charles Oliveira capitalized on this activity level, while Jonathan Brookins's 107-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Jonathan Brookins |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 063 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -20 |
Charles Oliveira extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jonathan Brookins is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Jonathan Brookins |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 050 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.