August 22, 2015
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Max Holloway |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 14 | 13 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 161 | 1 236 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +33 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (14 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Max Holloway |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 077 | 1 140 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Max Holloway |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:39 | 1:39 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 299 | 1 478 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +84 |
Max Holloway earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:39, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Max Holloway |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 5 | 14 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 17 | 29 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 5 | 14 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 154 | 1 395 |
| ELO Change | -50 | +50 |
Max Holloway edged the striking exchanges with 14 vs 5 significant strikes, 48.3% vs 29.4% accuracy. Max Holloway capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Max Holloway |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:06 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 356 | 1 306 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Max Holloway |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 85 | 127 |
| Activity ELO | 1 233 | 1 370 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +31 |
Max Holloway demonstrated solid activity levels with 127 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Max Holloway capitalized on this activity level, while Charles Oliveira's 85-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Max Holloway |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 7 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 112 | 1 245 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +49 |
Max Holloway continued building serious momentum with a 7-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Charles Oliveira's now at 0.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Max Holloway |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 074 | 1 139 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

