Charles Oliveira vs Max Holloway

March 7, 2026

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1501
(+42)
Charles Oliveira
Winner: Charles Oliveira
Decision - Unanimous
Round 5 • 5:00

C-ELO Evolution

Charles Oliveira+42
Max Holloway-39
1466
(-39)
Max Holloway

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Charles Oliveira: +35Max Holloway: -35

Performance Statistics

MetricCharles OliveiraMax Holloway
Total UFC Fights3732
Experience Gap5-5
Experience ELO1 4341 405
ELO Change+35-35
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What Happened

Charles Oliveira's 5-fight experience advantage (37 vs 32 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Charles Oliveira for the expected result. Had Max Holloway pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Charles Oliveira: +25Max Holloway: -25

Performance Statistics

MetricCharles OliveiraMax Holloway
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 3071 329
ELO Change+25-25
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Charles Oliveira: +43Max Holloway: -43

Performance Statistics

MetricCharles OliveiraMax Holloway
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round55
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 7631 686
ELO Change+43-43
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What Happened

Charles Oliveira earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Charles Oliveira: +53Max Holloway: -53

Performance Statistics

MetricCharles OliveiraMax Holloway
Significant Strikes Landed5026
Significant Strikes Attempted6645
Total Strikes Landed11073
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 5281 610
ELO Change+53-53
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What Happened

Charles Oliveira controlled the striking exchanges with 110 vs 73 total strikes, 50 vs 26 significant strikes, 75.8% vs 57.8% accuracy. Charles Oliveira capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Charles Oliveira: +93Max Holloway: -93

Performance Statistics

MetricCharles OliveiraMax Holloway
Takedowns Landed50
Takedowns Attempted130
Ground Control Time20:491:36
Ground Strikes Landed240
Ground ELO1 6141 387
ELO Change+93-93
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What Happened

Charles Oliveira dominated Max Holloway on the ground with 5 vs 0 takedowns, 20:49 of control time, 24 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Charles Oliveira: +39Max Holloway: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricCharles OliveiraMax Holloway
Days Since Last Fight147231
Activity ELO1 5311 449
ELO Change+39-20
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What Happened

Charles Oliveira demonstrated solid activity levels with 147 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Charles Oliveira capitalized on this activity level, while Max Holloway's 231-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Charles Oliveira: +27Max Holloway: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricCharles OliveiraMax Holloway
Win Streak20
Win Streak ELO1 5071 481
ELO Change+27-22
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What Happened

Charles Oliveira extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Max Holloway is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Charles Oliveira: +22Max Holloway: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricCharles OliveiraMax Holloway
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 2451 222
ELO Change+22-22
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

Extra Bonuses
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Why It Matters:

Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.

Charles Oliveira

Title Victory Bonus For This Fight: +0
Total Title Victories So Far:2
Total Title Victory Bonus So Far:10

Max Holloway

Title Victory Bonus For This Fight:+0
Total Title Victories So Far:4
Total Title Victory Bonus So Far:20