May 29, 2015
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 13 | 15 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 192 | 1 120 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -31 |
Charles Oliveira overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (13 vs 15 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Nik Lentz.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 097 | 1 076 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 1:10 | 1:10 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 334 | 1 193 |
| ELO Change | +54 | -36 |
Charles Oliveira earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 1:10, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Nik Lentz was submitted.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 64 | 37 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 84 | 69 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 84 | 58 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 204 | 1 146 |
| ELO Change | +85 | -85 |
Charles Oliveira controlled the striking exchanges with 84 vs 58 total strikes, 64 vs 37 significant strikes, 76.2% vs 53.6% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Charles Oliveira capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 10 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:57 | 6:20 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 28 | 6 |
| Ground ELO | 1 383 | 1 234 |
| ELO Change | +56 | -56 |
Charles Oliveira controlled Nik Lentz on the ground with 1 takedown, 1:57 of control time, 28 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 169 | 385 |
| Activity ELO | 1 249 | 1 209 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -22 |
Charles Oliveira demonstrated solid activity levels with 169 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Charles Oliveira capitalized on this activity level, while Nik Lentz's 385-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 129 | 1 104 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -23 |
Charles Oliveira extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Nik Lentz is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 093 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.