May 17, 2019
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 24 | 23 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 278 | 1 150 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (24 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 154 | 1 096 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:11 | 2:11 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 504 | 1 266 |
| ELO Change | +48 | -23 |
Charles Oliveira gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 38 | 18 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 59 | 49 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 43 | 21 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 327 | 1 121 |
| ELO Change | +105 | -105 |
Charles Oliveira controlled the striking exchanges with 43 vs 21 total strikes, 38 vs 18 significant strikes, 64.4% vs 36.7% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Charles Oliveira capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:37 | 1:40 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 8 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 369 | 1 290 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
Charles Oliveira landed 1 knockdown followed by 8 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 105 | 90 |
| Activity ELO | 1 424 | 1 247 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -14 |
Charles Oliveira demonstrated solid activity levels with 105 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Charles Oliveira capitalized on this activity level, while Nik Lentz's 90-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 5 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 223 | 1 135 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -19 |
Charles Oliveira continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Nik Lentz's now at 0.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 149 | 1 095 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.