December 1, 2017
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Paul Felder |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 19 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | 9 | -9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 129 | 1 219 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +49 |
Paul Felder overcame a 9-fight experience disadvantage (10 vs 19 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Charles Oliveira.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Paul Felder |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 057 | 1 092 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Paul Felder |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:06 | 4:06 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 264 | 1 386 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +89 |
Paul Felder gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Paul Felder |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 6 | 31 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 13 | 46 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 12 | 37 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 114 | 1 359 |
| ELO Change | -58 | +58 |
Paul Felder controlled the striking exchanges with 37 vs 12 total strikes, 31 vs 6 significant strikes, 67.4% vs 46.2% accuracy. Paul Felder capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Paul Felder |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:52 | 4:51 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 26 |
| Ground ELO | 1 207 | 1 260 |
| ELO Change | -77 | +77 |
Paul Felder controlled Charles Oliveira on the ground with 0 takedowns, 4:51 of control time, 26 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Paul Felder |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 239 | 140 |
| Activity ELO | 1 222 | 1 270 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +44 |
Paul Felder demonstrated solid activity levels with 140 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Paul Felder capitalized on this activity level, while Charles Oliveira's 239-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Paul Felder |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 091 | 1 125 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +29 |
Paul Felder extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Charles Oliveira is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Paul Felder |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 050 | 1 092 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.