April 7, 2017
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Will Brooks |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 18 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 15 | -15 |
| Experience ELO | 1 160 | 1 074 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Charles Oliveira's 15-fight experience advantage (18 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Charles Oliveira for the expected result. Had Will Brooks pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Will Brooks |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 078 | 988 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Will Brooks |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:30 | 2:30 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 307 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -17 |
Charles Oliveira earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:30, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Will Brooks |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 3 | 4 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 7 | 5 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 3 | 8 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 172 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +11 | -11 |
Will Brooks controlled the striking through superior accuracy (80.0% vs 42.9%). However, since Will Brooks lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Charles Oliveira's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Will Brooks |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:42 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 284 | 987 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Charles Oliveira controlled Will Brooks on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 1:42 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Will Brooks |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 154 | 189 |
| Activity ELO | 1 244 | 1 015 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -10 |
Charles Oliveira demonstrated solid activity levels with 154 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Charles Oliveira capitalized on this activity level, while Will Brooks's 189-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Will Brooks |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 113 | 995 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -16 |
Charles Oliveira started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Will Brooks is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Charles Oliveira | Will Brooks |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 071 | 988 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.