November 9, 2024
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Charles Radtke | Matthew Semelsberger |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 11 |
| Experience Gap | -7 | 7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 100 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | +43 | -29 |
Charles Radtke overcame a 7-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 11 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Matthew Semelsberger.
| Metric | Charles Radtke | Matthew Semelsberger |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 037 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Charles Radtke | Matthew Semelsberger |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:51 | 0:51 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 213 | 1 091 |
| ELO Change | +129 | -49 |
Charles Radtke secured a devastating KO/TKO in 0:51 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.
| Metric | Charles Radtke | Matthew Semelsberger |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 7 | 2 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 12 | 8 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 7 | 2 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 158 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +95 | -95 |
Charles Radtke slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 7 vs 2 significant strikes, 58.3% vs 25.0% accuracy. Charles Radtke capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Charles Radtke | Matthew Semelsberger |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 073 | 960 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
The fight remained exclusively on the feet with zero ground action, resulting in neutral ground scoring for both fighters.
| Metric | Charles Radtke | Matthew Semelsberger |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 155 | 302 |
| Activity ELO | 1 076 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -23 |
Charles Radtke demonstrated solid activity levels with 155 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Charles Radtke capitalized on this activity level, while Matthew Semelsberger's 302-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Charles Radtke | Matthew Semelsberger |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 044 | 992 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -20 |
Charles Radtke started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Matthew Semelsberger is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Charles Radtke | Matthew Semelsberger |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 037 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.