October 3, 2014
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Charles Rosa | Dennis Siver |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 18 |
| Experience Gap | -17 | 17 |
| Experience ELO | 981 | 1 170 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
Dennis Siver's 17-fight experience advantage (18 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Dennis Siver for the expected result. Had Charles Rosa pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Charles Rosa | Dennis Siver |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 984 | 1 101 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Charles Rosa | Dennis Siver |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 985 | 1 283 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +15 |
Dennis Siver earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Charles Rosa | Dennis Siver |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 22 | 33 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 91 | 86 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 29 | 109 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 978 | 1 217 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Dennis Siver dominated the striking exchanges with 109 vs 29 total strikes, 33 vs 22 significant strikes, 38.4% vs 24.2% accuracy. Dennis Siver capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Charles Rosa | Dennis Siver |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:55 | 8:51 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 942 | 1 183 |
| ELO Change | -58 | +58 |
Dennis Siver dominated Charles Rosa on the ground with 3 vs 2 takedowns, 8:51 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Charles Rosa | Dennis Siver |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 280 |
| Activity ELO | 992 | 1 260 |
| ELO Change | -8 | +8 |
Dennis Siver demonstrated standard activity with 280 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Dennis Siver capitalized on this activity level, while Charles Rosa's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Charles Rosa | Dennis Siver |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 986 | 1 139 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +15 |
Dennis Siver started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Charles Rosa is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Charles Rosa | Dennis Siver |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 984 | 1 101 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

