January 16, 2016
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Charles Rosa | Kyle Bochniak |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 014 | 967 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Charles Rosa's 3-fight experience advantage (4 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Charles Rosa for the expected result. Had Kyle Bochniak pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Charles Rosa | Kyle Bochniak |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 005 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Charles Rosa | Kyle Bochniak |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 067 | 961 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -39 |
Charles Rosa earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Charles Rosa | Kyle Bochniak |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 92 | 52 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 232 | 129 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 95 | 53 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 007 | 960 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -40 |
Charles Rosa controlled the striking exchanges with 95 vs 53 total strikes, 92 vs 52 significant strikes. Charles Rosa capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Charles Rosa | Kyle Bochniak |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 8 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:03 | 0:44 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 023 | 972 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Charles Rosa did not secure a significant ground advantage against Kyle Bochniak on the ground with 1 takedown, 1:03 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Charles Rosa | Kyle Bochniak |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 219 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 043 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -20 |
Charles Rosa demonstrated standard activity with 219 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Charles Rosa capitalized on this activity level, while Kyle Bochniak's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Charles Rosa | Kyle Bochniak |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 011 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -22 |
Charles Rosa started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kyle Bochniak is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Charles Rosa | Kyle Bochniak |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 005 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.