October 17, 2019
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Charles Rosa | Manny Bermudez |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 028 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -40 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (6 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Charles Rosa | Manny Bermudez |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 009 | 1 011 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Charles Rosa | Manny Bermudez |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:46 | 2:46 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 116 | 1 066 |
| ELO Change | +94 | -53 |
Charles Rosa earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:46, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Charles Rosa | Manny Bermudez |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 6 | 27 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 8 | 38 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 8 | 37 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 961 | 1 034 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Manny Bermudez controlled the striking through superior volume (37 vs 8 total strikes), significant strike advantage (27 vs 6). However, since Manny Bermudez lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Charles Rosa's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Charles Rosa | Manny Bermudez |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 2:17 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 26 |
| Ground ELO | 1 059 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | +60 | -60 |
Charles Rosa edged out Manny Bermudez on the ground with 0 takedowns, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Charles Rosa | Manny Bermudez |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 923 | 62 |
| Activity ELO | 1 042 | 1 035 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -23 |
Charles Rosa demonstrated extended layoff with 923 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Charles Rosa capitalized on this activity level, while Manny Bermudez's 62-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Charles Rosa | Manny Bermudez |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 018 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -24 |
Charles Rosa started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Manny Bermudez is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Charles Rosa | Manny Bermudez |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 009 | 1 011 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.