January 17, 2015
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Charles Rosa | Sean Soriano |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 012 | 922 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -29 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Charles Rosa | Sean Soriano |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 003 | 940 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Charles Rosa | Sean Soriano |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 4:43 | 4:43 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 038 | 892 |
| ELO Change | +53 | -35 |
Charles Rosa earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 4:43, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Sean Soriano was submitted.
| Metric | Charles Rosa | Sean Soriano |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 37 | 69 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 102 | 109 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 37 | 72 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 996 | 914 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
Sean Soriano controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (72 vs 37 total strikes), significant strike advantage (69 vs 37), superior accuracy (63.3% vs 36.3%). However, since Sean Soriano lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Charles Rosa's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Charles Rosa | Sean Soriano |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 5 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 8 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:36 | 3:07 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 1 021 | 749 |
| ELO Change | +79 | -79 |
Charles Rosa dominated Sean Soriano on the ground with 5 vs 3 takedowns, 5:36 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Charles Rosa | Sean Soriano |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 107 | 136 |
| Activity ELO | 1 040 | 942 |
| ELO Change | +48 | -19 |
Charles Rosa demonstrated solid activity levels with 107 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Charles Rosa capitalized on this activity level, while Sean Soriano's 136-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Charles Rosa | Sean Soriano |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 007 | 941 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -19 |
Charles Rosa started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Sean Soriano is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Charles Rosa | Sean Soriano |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 003 | 940 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.