April 7, 2017
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Charles Rosa | Shane Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 988 | 1 104 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +31 |
Shane Burgos overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 5 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Charles Rosa.
| Metric | Charles Rosa | Shane Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 985 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Charles Rosa | Shane Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 1:59 | 1:59 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 022 | 1 132 |
| ELO Change | -45 | +90 |
Shane Burgos gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Charles Rosa | Shane Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 86 | 77 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 261 | 167 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 86 | 98 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 932 | 1 127 |
| ELO Change | -75 | +75 |
Shane Burgos controlled the striking exchanges with 77 vs 86 significant strikes, 46.1% vs 33.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Shane Burgos capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Charles Rosa | Shane Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:44 | 0:10 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 999 | 1 083 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Shane Burgos landed 1 knockdown followed by 2 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Charles Rosa | Shane Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 447 | 120 |
| Activity ELO | 1 021 | 1 067 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +44 |
Shane Burgos demonstrated solid activity levels with 120 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Shane Burgos capitalized on this activity level, while Charles Rosa's 447-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Charles Rosa | Shane Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 991 | 1 049 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +24 |
Shane Burgos extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Charles Rosa is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Charles Rosa | Shane Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 985 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.