June 12, 2015
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Charles Rosa | Yair Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 981 | 1 054 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +33 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Charles Rosa | Yair Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 983 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Charles Rosa | Yair Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 028 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | -10 | +10 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Yair Rodriguez receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Charles Rosa | Yair Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 39 | 56 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 79 | 100 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 67 | 97 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 967 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Yair Rodriguez controlled the striking exchanges with 97 vs 67 total strikes, 56 vs 39 significant strikes. Yair Rodriguez capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Charles Rosa | Yair Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 5 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 14 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 8:48 | 0:36 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 16 | 13 |
| Ground ELO | 995 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Yair Rodriguez did not secure a significant ground advantage against Charles Rosa on the ground with 1 takedown, 0:36 of control time, 13 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Charles Rosa | Yair Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 146 | 210 |
| Activity ELO | 1 018 | 1 049 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +28 |
Yair Rodriguez demonstrated standard activity with 210 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Yair Rodriguez capitalized on this activity level, while Charles Rosa's 146-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Charles Rosa | Yair Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 987 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +24 |
Yair Rodriguez extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Charles Rosa is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Charles Rosa | Yair Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 983 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.