January 19, 2012
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Charlie Brenneman | Daniel Roberts |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 090 | 990 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -28 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (6 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Charlie Brenneman | Daniel Roberts |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 047 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Charlie Brenneman | Daniel Roberts |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 135 | 1 009 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -35 |
Charlie Brenneman earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Charlie Brenneman | Daniel Roberts |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 24 | 3 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 26 | 11 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 156 | 54 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 052 | 890 |
| ELO Change | +54 | -54 |
Charlie Brenneman dominated the striking exchanges with 156 vs 54 total strikes, 24 vs 3 significant strikes, 92.3% vs 27.3% accuracy. Charlie Brenneman capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Charlie Brenneman | Daniel Roberts |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 13:08 | 0:19 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 19 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 229 | 950 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -42 |
Charlie Brenneman dominated Daniel Roberts on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 13:08 of control time, 19 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Charlie Brenneman | Daniel Roberts |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 112 | 209 |
| Activity ELO | 1 137 | 1 073 |
| ELO Change | +54 | -22 |
Charlie Brenneman demonstrated solid activity levels with 112 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Charlie Brenneman capitalized on this activity level, while Daniel Roberts's 209-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Charlie Brenneman | Daniel Roberts |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 065 | 993 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -19 |
Charlie Brenneman started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Daniel Roberts is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Charlie Brenneman | Daniel Roberts |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 047 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.