April 25, 2014
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Charlie Brenneman | Danny Castillo |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 917 | 1 145 |
| ELO Change | -10 | +15 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (10 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Charlie Brenneman | Danny Castillo |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 965 | 1 076 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Charlie Brenneman | Danny Castillo |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 0:21 | 0:21 |
| Win Type ELO | 976 | 1 222 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +45 |
Danny Castillo gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Charlie Brenneman | Danny Castillo |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 13 | 16 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 21 | 21 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 35 | 20 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 820 | 1 152 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Danny Castillo controlled the striking exchanges with 76.2% vs 61.9% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Danny Castillo capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Charlie Brenneman | Danny Castillo |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:10 | 0:58 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 7 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 961 | 1 287 |
| ELO Change | -6 | +6 |
Danny Castillo did not secure a significant ground advantage against Charlie Brenneman on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:58 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Charlie Brenneman | Danny Castillo |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 101 | 133 |
| Activity ELO | 1 045 | 1 219 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +27 |
Danny Castillo demonstrated solid activity levels with 133 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Danny Castillo capitalized on this activity level, while Charlie Brenneman's 101-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Charlie Brenneman | Danny Castillo |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 980 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +18 |
Danny Castillo started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Charlie Brenneman is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Charlie Brenneman | Danny Castillo |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 965 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.