August 6, 2010
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Charlie Brenneman | Johny Hendricks |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 999 | 1 148 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Johny Hendricks's 2-fight experience advantage (4 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Johny Hendricks for the expected result. Had Charlie Brenneman pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Charlie Brenneman | Johny Hendricks |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 002 | 1 081 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Charlie Brenneman | Johny Hendricks |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 0:40 | 0:40 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 016 | 1 237 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +53 |
Johny Hendricks gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Charlie Brenneman | Johny Hendricks |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 9 | 28 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 33 | 42 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 15 | 34 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 2 |
| Striking ELO | 960 | 1 272 |
| ELO Change | -93 | +93 |
Johny Hendricks dominated the striking exchanges with 28 vs 9 significant strikes, 66.7% vs 27.3% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Johny Hendricks capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Charlie Brenneman | Johny Hendricks |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:06 | 0:51 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 14 |
| Ground ELO | 1 093 | 1 217 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Johny Hendricks landed 2 knockdowns followed by 14 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Charlie Brenneman | Johny Hendricks |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 129 | 91 |
| Activity ELO | 1 005 | 1 142 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +41 |
Johny Hendricks demonstrated solid activity levels with 91 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Johny Hendricks capitalized on this activity level, while Charlie Brenneman's 129-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Charlie Brenneman | Johny Hendricks |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 005 | 1 099 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +25 |
Johny Hendricks extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Charlie Brenneman is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Charlie Brenneman | Johny Hendricks |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 002 | 1 081 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

