September 21, 2012
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Charlie Brenneman | Kyle Noke |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 009 | 1 014 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +43 |
Kyle Noke overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (6 vs 8 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Charlie Brenneman.
| Metric | Charlie Brenneman | Kyle Noke |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 002 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Charlie Brenneman | Kyle Noke |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:45 | 0:45 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 045 | 1 210 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +104 |
Kyle Noke secured a devastating KO/TKO in 0:45 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.
| Metric | Charlie Brenneman | Kyle Noke |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 0 | 7 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 2 | 15 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 0 | 7 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 895 | 1 216 |
| ELO Change | -121 | +121 |
Kyle Noke controlled the striking exchanges with 7 vs 0 significant strikes, 46.7% vs 0.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Kyle Noke capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Charlie Brenneman | Kyle Noke |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 1 107 | 1 185 |
| ELO Change | -58 | +58 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Charlie Brenneman | Kyle Noke |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 106 | 204 |
| Activity ELO | 1 084 | 1 094 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +29 |
Kyle Noke demonstrated standard activity with 204 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Kyle Noke capitalized on this activity level, while Charlie Brenneman's 106-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Charlie Brenneman | Kyle Noke |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 018 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +24 |
Kyle Noke started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Charlie Brenneman is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Charlie Brenneman | Kyle Noke |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 002 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.