June 25, 2011
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Charlie Brenneman | Rick Story |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 088 | 1 160 |
| ELO Change | +59 | -46 |
Charlie Brenneman overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 8 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Rick Story.
| Metric | Charlie Brenneman | Rick Story |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 048 | 1 087 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Charlie Brenneman | Rick Story |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 119 | 1 223 |
| ELO Change | +67 | -67 |
Charlie Brenneman earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Charlie Brenneman | Rick Story |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 11 | 17 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 26 | 46 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 70 | 61 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 050 | 1 263 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -38 |
Rick Story controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (17 vs 11). However, since Rick Story lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Charlie Brenneman's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Charlie Brenneman | Rick Story |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 5 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 8 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 9:42 | 2:47 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 1 257 | 1 301 |
| ELO Change | +110 | -110 |
Charlie Brenneman controlled Rick Story on the ground with 5 vs 2 takedowns, 9:42 of control time, 5 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Charlie Brenneman | Rick Story |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 155 | 29 |
| Activity ELO | 1 098 | 1 251 |
| ELO Change | +59 | -34 |
Charlie Brenneman demonstrated solid activity levels with 155 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Charlie Brenneman capitalized on this activity level, while Rick Story's 29-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Charlie Brenneman | Rick Story |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 064 | 1 166 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -30 |
Charlie Brenneman extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Rick Story is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Charlie Brenneman | Rick Story |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 048 | 1 086 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.