September 27, 2025
Lightweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
| Metric | Charlie Campbell | Tom Nolan |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 059 | 1 098 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Tom Nolan's 2-fight experience advantage (5 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Tom Nolan for the expected result. Had Charlie Campbell pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Charlie Campbell | Tom Nolan |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 020 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Charlie Campbell | Tom Nolan |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:08 | 4:08 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 085 | 1 195 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +70 |
Tom Nolan earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 4:08, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Charlie Campbell | Tom Nolan |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 15 | 26 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 42 | 61 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 15 | 33 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 080 | 1 056 |
| ELO Change | -53 | +53 |
Tom Nolan edged the striking exchanges with 26 vs 15 significant strikes. Tom Nolan capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Charlie Campbell | Tom Nolan |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:18 | 0:34 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 028 | 1 083 |
| ELO Change | -68 | +68 |
Tom Nolan controlled Charlie Campbell on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 0:34 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Charlie Campbell | Tom Nolan |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 540 | 231 |
| Activity ELO | 1 031 | 1 123 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +22 |
Tom Nolan demonstrated standard activity with 231 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Tom Nolan capitalized on this activity level, while Charlie Campbell's 540-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Charlie Campbell | Tom Nolan |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 026 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +29 |
Tom Nolan extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Charlie Campbell is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Charlie Campbell | Tom Nolan |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 020 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

