August 12, 2022
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Charlie Ontiveros | Gabriel Benitez |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 13 |
| Experience Gap | -10 | 10 |
| Experience ELO | 928 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Gabriel Benitez's 10-fight experience advantage (13 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Gabriel Benitez for the expected result. Had Charlie Ontiveros pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Charlie Ontiveros | Gabriel Benitez |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 944 | 1 009 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Charlie Ontiveros | Gabriel Benitez |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:33 | 3:33 |
| Win Type ELO | 915 | 1 148 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +52 |
Gabriel Benitez earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 3:33, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Charlie Ontiveros | Gabriel Benitez |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 22 | 37 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 47 | 60 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 28 | 47 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 830 | 1 012 |
| ELO Change | -52 | +52 |
Gabriel Benitez controlled the striking exchanges with 37 vs 22 significant strikes, 61.7% vs 46.8% accuracy. Gabriel Benitez capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Charlie Ontiveros | Gabriel Benitez |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 1:24 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 21 |
| Ground ELO | 805 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Gabriel Benitez controlled Charlie Ontiveros on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:24 of control time, 21 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Charlie Ontiveros | Gabriel Benitez |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 308 | 175 |
| Activity ELO | 953 | 1 058 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +31 |
Gabriel Benitez demonstrated solid activity levels with 175 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Gabriel Benitez capitalized on this activity level, while Charlie Ontiveros's 308-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Charlie Ontiveros | Gabriel Benitez |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 945 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +21 |
Gabriel Benitez started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Charlie Ontiveros is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Charlie Ontiveros | Gabriel Benitez |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 944 | 1 009 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.