October 8, 2021
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Charlie Ontiveros | Steve Garcia |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 956 | 1 006 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +32 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Charlie Ontiveros | Steve Garcia |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 963 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Charlie Ontiveros | Steve Garcia |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:51 | 1:51 |
| Win Type ELO | 939 | 1 066 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +86 |
Steve Garcia gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Charlie Ontiveros | Steve Garcia |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 7 | 34 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 23 | 49 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 15 | 70 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 2 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 882 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | -93 | +93 |
Steve Garcia dominated the striking exchanges with 70 vs 15 total strikes, 34 vs 7 significant strikes, 69.4% vs 30.4% accuracy. Steve Garcia capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Charlie Ontiveros | Steve Garcia |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:08 | 5:55 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 27 |
| Ground ELO | 839 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -85 | +85 |
Steve Garcia dominated Charlie Ontiveros on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 5:55 of control time, 27 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Charlie Ontiveros | Steve Garcia |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 343 | 588 |
| Activity ELO | 971 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +19 |
Steve Garcia demonstrated extended layoff with 588 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Steve Garcia capitalized on this activity level, while Charlie Ontiveros's 343-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Charlie Ontiveros | Steve Garcia |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 964 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Steve Garcia started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Charlie Ontiveros is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Charlie Ontiveros | Steve Garcia |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 963 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.