February 3, 2017
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chas Skelly | Chris Gruetzemacher |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 6 | -6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 127 | 997 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Chas Skelly's 6-fight experience advantage (8 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Chas Skelly for the expected result. Had Chris Gruetzemacher pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Chas Skelly | Chris Gruetzemacher |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 081 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chas Skelly | Chris Gruetzemacher |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:01 | 2:01 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 296 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -18 |
Chas Skelly earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 2:01, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Chris Gruetzemacher was submitted.
| Metric | Chas Skelly | Chris Gruetzemacher |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 21 | 28 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 52 | 43 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 29 | 65 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 146 | 1 011 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -15 |
Chris Gruetzemacher controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (65 vs 29 total strikes), solid significant strike edge (28 vs 21), superior accuracy (65.1% vs 40.4%). However, since Chris Gruetzemacher lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Chas Skelly's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Chas Skelly | Chris Gruetzemacher |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:40 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 11 |
| Ground ELO | 1 175 | 956 |
| ELO Change | +65 | -65 |
Chas Skelly dominated Chris Gruetzemacher on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 4:40 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Chas Skelly | Chris Gruetzemacher |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 141 | 421 |
| Activity ELO | 1 213 | 1 009 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -12 |
Chas Skelly demonstrated solid activity levels with 141 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Chas Skelly capitalized on this activity level, while Chris Gruetzemacher's 421-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chas Skelly | Chris Gruetzemacher |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 107 | 1 006 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -17 |
Chas Skelly extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Chris Gruetzemacher is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chas Skelly | Chris Gruetzemacher |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 081 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

