March 4, 2016
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chas Skelly | Darren Elkins |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 14 |
| Experience Gap | -8 | 8 |
| Experience ELO | 1 079 | 1 147 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Darren Elkins's 8-fight experience advantage (14 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Darren Elkins for the expected result. Had Chas Skelly pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Chas Skelly | Darren Elkins |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 044 | 1 099 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chas Skelly | Darren Elkins |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 181 | 1 240 |
| ELO Change | -46 | +46 |
Darren Elkins earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Chas Skelly | Darren Elkins |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 27 | 104 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 72 | 153 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 32 | 193 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 090 | 1 241 |
| ELO Change | -58 | +58 |
Darren Elkins dominated the striking exchanges with 193 vs 32 total strikes, 104 vs 27 significant strikes, 68.0% vs 37.5% accuracy. Darren Elkins capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Chas Skelly | Darren Elkins |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 7 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 11 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:03 | 8:42 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 48 |
| Ground ELO | 1 072 | 1 327 |
| ELO Change | -105 | +105 |
Darren Elkins dominated Chas Skelly on the ground with 7 vs 0 takedowns, 8:42 of control time, 48 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Chas Skelly | Darren Elkins |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 119 | 134 |
| Activity ELO | 1 172 | 1 205 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +46 |
Darren Elkins demonstrated solid activity levels with 134 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Darren Elkins capitalized on this activity level, while Chas Skelly's 119-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chas Skelly | Darren Elkins |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 066 | 1 134 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +23 |
Darren Elkins extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Chas Skelly is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chas Skelly | Darren Elkins |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 044 | 1 099 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.