February 13, 2015
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chas Skelly | Jim Alers |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 073 | 992 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Chas Skelly's 2-fight experience advantage (4 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Chas Skelly for the expected result. Had Jim Alers pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Chas Skelly | Jim Alers |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 042 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chas Skelly | Jim Alers |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:59 | 4:59 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 153 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +68 | -33 |
Chas Skelly gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Chas Skelly | Jim Alers |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 42 | 33 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 68 | 63 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 54 | 41 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 123 | 957 |
| ELO Change | +100 | -100 |
Chas Skelly controlled the striking exchanges with 42 vs 33 significant strikes, 61.8% vs 52.4% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Chas Skelly capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Chas Skelly | Jim Alers |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:23 | 1:35 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 106 | 989 |
| ELO Change | +52 | -52 |
Chas Skelly landed 1 knockdown followed by 2 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Chas Skelly | Jim Alers |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 163 | 310 |
| Activity ELO | 1 176 | 1 008 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -13 |
Chas Skelly demonstrated solid activity levels with 163 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Chas Skelly capitalized on this activity level, while Jim Alers's 310-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chas Skelly | Jim Alers |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 054 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -21 |
Chas Skelly extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jim Alers is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chas Skelly | Jim Alers |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 042 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

