September 13, 2019
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chas Skelly | Jordan Griffin |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 9 | -9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 114 | 948 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Chas Skelly's 9-fight experience advantage (11 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Chas Skelly for the expected result. Had Jordan Griffin pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Chas Skelly | Jordan Griffin |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 074 | 963 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chas Skelly | Jordan Griffin |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 249 | 950 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -15 |
Chas Skelly earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Chas Skelly | Jordan Griffin |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 21 | 37 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 59 | 87 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 80 | 66 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 045 | 962 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Jordan Griffin controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (37 vs 21). However, since Jordan Griffin lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Chas Skelly's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Chas Skelly | Jordan Griffin |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 8:34 | 2:56 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 1 136 | 928 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
Chas Skelly edged out Jordan Griffin on the ground with 1 takedown, 8:34 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Chas Skelly | Jordan Griffin |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 308 | 273 |
| Activity ELO | 1 197 | 970 |
| ELO Change | +10 | -10 |
Chas Skelly demonstrated standard activity with 308 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Chas Skelly capitalized on this activity level, while Jordan Griffin's 273-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chas Skelly | Jordan Griffin |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 099 | 964 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -15 |
Chas Skelly started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jordan Griffin is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chas Skelly | Jordan Griffin |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 074 | 963 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.