December 7, 2024
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chase Hooper | Clay Guida |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 37 |
| Experience Gap | -27 | 27 |
| Experience ELO | 1 166 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +70 | -25 |
Chase Hooper overcame a 27-fight experience disadvantage (10 vs 37 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Clay Guida.
| Metric | Chase Hooper | Clay Guida |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 071 | 989 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chase Hooper | Clay Guida |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:41 | 3:41 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 281 | 1 103 |
| ELO Change | +50 | -31 |
Chase Hooper earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 3:41, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Chase Hooper | Clay Guida |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 7 | 5 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 15 | 13 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 14 | 6 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 225 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Chase Hooper slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 46.7% vs 38.5% accuracy. Chase Hooper capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Chase Hooper | Clay Guida |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:08 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 293 | 986 |
| ELO Change | +142 | -142 |
Chase Hooper dominated Clay Guida on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 2:08 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Chase Hooper | Clay Guida |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 211 | 372 |
| Activity ELO | 1 123 | 1 125 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -24 |
Chase Hooper demonstrated standard activity with 211 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Chase Hooper capitalized on this activity level, while Clay Guida's 372-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chase Hooper | Clay Guida |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 100 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -19 |
Chase Hooper extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Clay Guida is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chase Hooper | Clay Guida |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 071 | 989 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.