July 21, 2017
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chase Sherman | Damian Grabowski |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 009 | 914 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Chase Sherman | Damian Grabowski |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 000 | 940 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chase Sherman | Damian Grabowski |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 059 | 909 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -32 |
Chase Sherman earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Chase Sherman | Damian Grabowski |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 111 | 68 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 228 | 188 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 112 | 69 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 021 | 766 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -15 |
Chase Sherman controlled the striking exchanges with 112 vs 69 total strikes, 111 vs 68 significant strikes, 48.7% vs 36.2% accuracy. Chase Sherman capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Chase Sherman | Damian Grabowski |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:12 | 0:01 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 997 | 907 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Chase Sherman | Damian Grabowski |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 70 | 357 |
| Activity ELO | 1 070 | 950 |
| ELO Change | +55 | -18 |
Chase Sherman demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 70 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Chase Sherman capitalized on this activity level, while Damian Grabowski's 357-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chase Sherman | Damian Grabowski |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 006 | 941 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -20 |
Chase Sherman extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Damian Grabowski is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chase Sherman | Damian Grabowski |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 000 | 940 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.