Chase Sherman vs Ike Villanueva

May 12, 2020

Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

985
(+59)
Chase Sherman
Winner: Chase Sherman
KO/TKO
Round 2 • 0:49

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Chase Sherman+59
Ike Villanueva-52
948
(-52)
Ike Villanueva

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Chase Sherman: +41Ike Villanueva: -41

Performance Statistics

MetricChase ShermanIke Villanueva
Total UFC Fights81
Experience Gap7-7
Experience ELO936959
ELO Change+41-41
💡

What Happened

Chase Sherman's 7-fight experience advantage (8 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Chase Sherman for the expected result. Had Ike Villanueva pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Chase Sherman: +24Ike Villanueva: -24

Performance Statistics

MetricChase ShermanIke Villanueva
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO967976
ELO Change+24-24
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Chase Sherman: +100Ike Villanueva: -49

Performance Statistics

MetricChase ShermanIke Villanueva
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round22
Time of Finish0:490:49
Win Type ELO1 042951
ELO Change+100-49
💡

What Happened

Chase Sherman gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Chase Sherman: +163Ike Villanueva: -163

Performance Statistics

MetricChase ShermanIke Villanueva
Significant Strikes Landed5116
Significant Strikes Attempted8754
Total Strikes Landed5116
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 011837
ELO Change+163-163
💡

What Happened

Chase Sherman controlled the striking exchanges with 51 vs 16 total strikes, 51 vs 16 significant strikes, 58.6% vs 29.6% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Chase Sherman capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Chase Sherman: +69Ike Villanueva: -69

Performance Statistics

MetricChase ShermanIke Villanueva
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time0:000:00
Ground Strikes Landed10
Ground ELO957931
ELO Change+69-69
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Chase Sherman: +19Ike Villanueva: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricChase ShermanIke Villanueva
Days Since Last Fight599N/A
Activity ELO1 022979
ELO Change+19-21
💡

What Happened

Chase Sherman demonstrated extended layoff with 599 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Chase Sherman capitalized on this activity level, while Ike Villanueva's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Chase Sherman: +26Ike Villanueva: -24

Performance Statistics

MetricChase ShermanIke Villanueva
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO975976
ELO Change+26-24
💡

What Happened

Chase Sherman started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ike Villanueva is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Chase Sherman: +24Ike Villanueva: -24

Performance Statistics

MetricChase ShermanIke Villanueva
Weight ClassHeavyweightHeavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO967976
ELO Change+24-24
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.