May 12, 2020
Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chase Sherman | Ike Villanueva |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 7 | -7 |
| Experience ELO | 936 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -41 |
Chase Sherman's 7-fight experience advantage (8 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Chase Sherman for the expected result. Had Ike Villanueva pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Chase Sherman | Ike Villanueva |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 967 | 976 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chase Sherman | Ike Villanueva |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 0:49 | 0:49 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 042 | 951 |
| ELO Change | +100 | -49 |
Chase Sherman gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Chase Sherman | Ike Villanueva |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 51 | 16 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 87 | 54 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 51 | 16 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 011 | 837 |
| ELO Change | +163 | -163 |
Chase Sherman controlled the striking exchanges with 51 vs 16 total strikes, 51 vs 16 significant strikes, 58.6% vs 29.6% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Chase Sherman capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Chase Sherman | Ike Villanueva |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 957 | 931 |
| ELO Change | +69 | -69 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Chase Sherman | Ike Villanueva |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 599 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 022 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -21 |
Chase Sherman demonstrated extended layoff with 599 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Chase Sherman capitalized on this activity level, while Ike Villanueva's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chase Sherman | Ike Villanueva |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 975 | 976 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -24 |
Chase Sherman started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ike Villanueva is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chase Sherman | Ike Villanueva |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 967 | 976 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

