January 14, 2022
Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chase Sherman | Jake Collier |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 869 | 991 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +27 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (11 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Chase Sherman | Jake Collier |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 915 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chase Sherman | Jake Collier |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:26 | 2:26 |
| Win Type ELO | 942 | 1 098 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +61 |
Jake Collier earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:26, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Chase Sherman | Jake Collier |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 10 | 20 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 17 | 49 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 10 | 20 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 911 | 968 |
| ELO Change | -44 | +44 |
Jake Collier edged the striking exchanges with 20 vs 10 significant strikes, 40.8% vs 58.8% accuracy. Jake Collier capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Chase Sherman | Jake Collier |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 1:07 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 8 |
| Ground ELO | 778 | 1 032 |
| ELO Change | -110 | +110 |
Jake Collier dominated Chase Sherman on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:07 of control time, 8 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Chase Sherman | Jake Collier |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 148 | 218 |
| Activity ELO | 973 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +23 |
Jake Collier demonstrated standard activity with 218 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Jake Collier capitalized on this activity level, while Chase Sherman's 148-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chase Sherman | Jake Collier |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 925 | 1 010 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +20 |
Jake Collier started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Chase Sherman is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chase Sherman | Jake Collier |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 915 | 999 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.