July 8, 2022
Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chase Sherman | Jared Vanderaa |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 13 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 7 | -7 |
| Experience ELO | 896 | 907 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -39 |
Chase Sherman's 7-fight experience advantage (13 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Chase Sherman for the expected result. Had Jared Vanderaa pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Chase Sherman | Jared Vanderaa |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 927 | 927 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chase Sherman | Jared Vanderaa |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 3:10 | 3:10 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 023 | 926 |
| ELO Change | +95 | -48 |
Chase Sherman gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Chase Sherman | Jared Vanderaa |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 137 | 109 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 235 | 266 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 137 | 109 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 966 | 785 |
| ELO Change | +91 | -91 |
Chase Sherman controlled the striking exchanges with 137 vs 109 total strikes, 137 vs 109 significant strikes, 58.3% vs 41.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Chase Sherman capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Chase Sherman | Jared Vanderaa |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 796 | 876 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
The fight remained exclusively on the feet with zero ground action, resulting in neutral ground scoring for both fighters.
| Metric | Chase Sherman | Jared Vanderaa |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 70 | 91 |
| Activity ELO | 1 034 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +70 | -23 |
Chase Sherman demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 70 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Chase Sherman capitalized on this activity level, while Jared Vanderaa's 91-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chase Sherman | Jared Vanderaa |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 940 | 934 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -24 |
Chase Sherman started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jared Vanderaa is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chase Sherman | Jared Vanderaa |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 927 | 926 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

