Chase Sherman vs Jared Vanderaa

July 8, 2022

Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

939
(+50)
Chase Sherman
Winner: Chase Sherman
KO/TKO
Round 3 • 3:10

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Chase Sherman+50
Jared Vanderaa-38
908
(-38)
Jared Vanderaa

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Chase Sherman: +39Jared Vanderaa: -39

Performance Statistics

MetricChase ShermanJared Vanderaa
Total UFC Fights136
Experience Gap7-7
Experience ELO896907
ELO Change+39-39
💡

What Happened

Chase Sherman's 7-fight experience advantage (13 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Chase Sherman for the expected result. Had Jared Vanderaa pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Chase Sherman: +24Jared Vanderaa: -24

Performance Statistics

MetricChase ShermanJared Vanderaa
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO927927
ELO Change+24-24
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Chase Sherman: +95Jared Vanderaa: -48

Performance Statistics

MetricChase ShermanJared Vanderaa
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round33
Time of Finish3:103:10
Win Type ELO1 023926
ELO Change+95-48
💡

What Happened

Chase Sherman gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Chase Sherman: +91Jared Vanderaa: -91

Performance Statistics

MetricChase ShermanJared Vanderaa
Significant Strikes Landed137109
Significant Strikes Attempted235266
Total Strikes Landed137109
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO966785
ELO Change+91-91
💡

What Happened

Chase Sherman controlled the striking exchanges with 137 vs 109 total strikes, 137 vs 109 significant strikes, 58.3% vs 41.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Chase Sherman capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Chase Sherman: +29Jared Vanderaa: -29

Performance Statistics

MetricChase ShermanJared Vanderaa
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time0:000:00
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO796876
ELO Change+29-29
💡

What Happened

The fight remained exclusively on the feet with zero ground action, resulting in neutral ground scoring for both fighters.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Chase Sherman: +70Jared Vanderaa: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricChase ShermanJared Vanderaa
Days Since Last Fight7091
Activity ELO1 034981
ELO Change+70-23
💡

What Happened

Chase Sherman demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 70 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Chase Sherman capitalized on this activity level, while Jared Vanderaa's 91-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Chase Sherman: +26Jared Vanderaa: -24

Performance Statistics

MetricChase ShermanJared Vanderaa
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO940934
ELO Change+26-24
💡

What Happened

Chase Sherman started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jared Vanderaa is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Chase Sherman: +24Jared Vanderaa: -24

Performance Statistics

MetricChase ShermanJared Vanderaa
Weight ClassHeavyweightHeavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO927926
ELO Change+24-24
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.