May 12, 2023
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chase Sherman | Karl Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 15 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 13 | -13 |
| Experience ELO | 886 | 1 094 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +34 |
Karl Williams overcame a 13-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 15 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Chase Sherman.
| Metric | Chase Sherman | Karl Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 915 | 1 036 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chase Sherman | Karl Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 980 | 1 080 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +39 |
Karl Williams earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Chase Sherman | Karl Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 54 | 70 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 158 | 165 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 64 | 85 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 948 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Karl Williams controlled the striking exchanges with 85 vs 64 total strikes, 70 vs 54 significant strikes, 42.4% vs 34.2% accuracy. Karl Williams capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Chase Sherman | Karl Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 10 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:12 | 2:35 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 788 | 1 128 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
Karl Williams controlled Chase Sherman on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 2:35 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Chase Sherman | Karl Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 175 | 63 |
| Activity ELO | 1 010 | 1 085 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +65 |
Karl Williams demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 63 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Karl Williams capitalized on this activity level, while Chase Sherman's 175-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chase Sherman | Karl Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 927 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +20 |
Karl Williams extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Chase Sherman is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chase Sherman | Karl Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 915 | 1 036 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.