May 12, 2017
Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chase Sherman | Rashad Coulter |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 981 | 963 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -37 |
Chase Sherman's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Chase Sherman for the expected result. Had Rashad Coulter pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Chase Sherman | Rashad Coulter |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 980 | 976 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chase Sherman | Rashad Coulter |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:36 | 3:36 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 027 | 949 |
| ELO Change | +105 | -51 |
Chase Sherman gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Chase Sherman | Rashad Coulter |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 103 | 36 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 231 | 83 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 107 | 36 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 006 | 839 |
| ELO Change | +161 | -161 |
Chase Sherman dominated the striking exchanges with 107 vs 36 total strikes, 103 vs 36 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Chase Sherman capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Chase Sherman | Rashad Coulter |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:58 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 18 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 979 | 932 |
| ELO Change | +68 | -68 |
Chase Sherman controlled Rashad Coulter on the ground with 0:58 of control time, 18 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Chase Sherman | Rashad Coulter |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 118 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 015 | 976 |
| ELO Change | +59 | -24 |
Chase Sherman demonstrated solid activity levels with 118 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Chase Sherman capitalized on this activity level, while Rashad Coulter's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chase Sherman | Rashad Coulter |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 982 | 976 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -24 |
Chase Sherman started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Rashad Coulter is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chase Sherman | Rashad Coulter |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 980 | 976 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

