January 14, 2017
Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chase Sherman | Walt Harris |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 944 | 979 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +35 |
Walt Harris's 4-fight experience advantage (6 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Walt Harris for the expected result. Had Chase Sherman pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Chase Sherman | Walt Harris |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 956 | 970 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chase Sherman | Walt Harris |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:41 | 2:41 |
| Win Type ELO | 922 | 1 080 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +75 |
Walt Harris gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Chase Sherman | Walt Harris |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 20 | 32 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 63 | 73 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 20 | 33 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 845 | 1 011 |
| ELO Change | -116 | +116 |
Walt Harris controlled the striking exchanges with 32 vs 20 significant strikes, 43.8% vs 31.7% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Walt Harris capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Chase Sherman | Walt Harris |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 911 | 945 |
| ELO Change | -68 | +68 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Chase Sherman | Walt Harris |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 163 | 107 |
| Activity ELO | 956 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +57 |
Walt Harris demonstrated solid activity levels with 107 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Walt Harris capitalized on this activity level, while Chase Sherman's 163-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chase Sherman | Walt Harris |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 956 | 974 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +25 |
Walt Harris started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Chase Sherman is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chase Sherman | Walt Harris |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 956 | 970 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

