Che Mills vs Duane Ludwig

September 28, 2012

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1073
(+44)
Che Mills
Winner: Che Mills
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 2:28

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Che Mills+44
Duane Ludwig-33
967
(-33)
Duane Ludwig

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Che Mills: +39Duane Ludwig: -28

Performance Statistics

MetricChe MillsDuane Ludwig
Total UFC Fights39
Experience Gap-66
Experience ELO1 079969
ELO Change+39-28
💡

What Happened

Che Mills overcame a 6-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 9 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Duane Ludwig.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Che Mills: +21Duane Ludwig: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricChe MillsDuane Ludwig
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 024979
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Che Mills: +86Duane Ludwig: -38

Performance Statistics

MetricChe MillsDuane Ludwig
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish2:282:28
Win Type ELO1 1781 023
ELO Change+86-38
💡

What Happened

Che Mills earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:28, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Che Mills: +58Duane Ludwig: -58

Performance Statistics

MetricChe MillsDuane Ludwig
Significant Strikes Landed82
Significant Strikes Attempted1310
Total Strikes Landed165
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 130894
ELO Change+58-58
💡

What Happened

Che Mills slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 8 vs 2 significant strikes, 61.5% vs 20.0% accuracy. Che Mills capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Che Mills: +57Duane Ludwig: -57

Performance Statistics

MetricChe MillsDuane Ludwig
Takedowns Landed20
Takedowns Attempted20
Ground Control Time2:050:00
Ground Strikes Landed50
Ground ELO1 070892
ELO Change+57-57
💡

What Happened

Che Mills controlled Duane Ludwig on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 2:05 of control time, 5 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Che Mills: +39Duane Ludwig: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricChe MillsDuane Ludwig
Days Since Last Fight161126
Activity ELO1 0451 005
ELO Change+39-22
💡

What Happened

Che Mills demonstrated solid activity levels with 161 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Che Mills capitalized on this activity level, while Duane Ludwig's 126-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Che Mills: +24Duane Ludwig: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricChe MillsDuane Ludwig
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 030993
ELO Change+24-22
💡

What Happened

Che Mills started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Duane Ludwig is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Che Mills: +21Duane Ludwig: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricChe MillsDuane Ludwig
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 024979
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.