December 11, 2009
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Cheick Kongo | Frank Mir |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 15 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 045 | 1 158 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Frank Mir's 4-fight experience advantage (15 vs 11 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Frank Mir for the expected result. Had Cheick Kongo pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Cheick Kongo | Frank Mir |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 046 | 1 150 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Cheick Kongo | Frank Mir |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:12 | 1:12 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 237 | 1 379 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +73 |
Frank Mir earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 1:12, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Cheick Kongo | Frank Mir |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 4 | 5 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 190 | 1 283 |
| ELO Change | -131 | +131 |
Virtually no striking took place with only 2 total significant strikes exchanged. Both fighters immediately engaged in grappling, making striking analysis irrelevant to this fight.
| Metric | Cheick Kongo | Frank Mir |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:23 | 0:06 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 972 | 1 229 |
| ELO Change | -71 | +71 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Cheick Kongo | Frank Mir |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 183 | 155 |
| Activity ELO | 1 155 | 1 207 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +37 |
Frank Mir demonstrated solid activity levels with 155 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Frank Mir capitalized on this activity level, while Cheick Kongo's 183-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Cheick Kongo | Frank Mir |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 064 | 1 138 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +21 |
Frank Mir started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Cheick Kongo is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Cheick Kongo | Frank Mir |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 044 | 1 110 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.