March 20, 2010
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Cheick Kongo | Paul Buentello |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 12 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 6 | -6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 078 | 1 028 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Cheick Kongo's 6-fight experience advantage (12 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Cheick Kongo for the expected result. Had Paul Buentello pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Cheick Kongo | Paul Buentello |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 066 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Cheick Kongo | Paul Buentello |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 1:16 | 1:16 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 308 | 1 146 |
| ELO Change | +71 | -35 |
Cheick Kongo gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Cheick Kongo | Paul Buentello |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 53 | 3 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 94 | 29 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 137 | 5 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 301 | 1 013 |
| ELO Change | +111 | -111 |
Cheick Kongo dominated the striking exchanges with 137 vs 5 total strikes, 53 vs 3 significant strikes, 56.4% vs 10.3% accuracy. Cheick Kongo capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Cheick Kongo | Paul Buentello |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 9 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 9 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 8:27 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 26 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 126 | 953 |
| ELO Change | +154 | -154 |
Cheick Kongo dominated Paul Buentello on the ground with 9 vs 0 takedowns, 8:27 of control time, 26 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Cheick Kongo | Paul Buentello |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 99 | 99 |
| Activity ELO | 1 195 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -16 |
Cheick Kongo demonstrated solid activity levels with 99 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Cheick Kongo capitalized on this activity level, while Paul Buentello's 99-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Cheick Kongo | Paul Buentello |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 085 | 1 012 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -19 |
Cheick Kongo started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Paul Buentello is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Cheick Kongo | Paul Buentello |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 064 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.