April 26, 2013
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Cheick Kongo | Roy Nelson |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 18 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | 9 | -9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 089 | 1 145 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +55 |
Roy Nelson overcame a 9-fight experience disadvantage (9 vs 18 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Cheick Kongo.
| Metric | Cheick Kongo | Roy Nelson |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 072 | 1 077 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Cheick Kongo | Roy Nelson |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:03 | 2:03 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 290 | 1 442 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +87 |
Roy Nelson earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:03, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Cheick Kongo | Roy Nelson |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 4 | 2 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 6 | 5 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 8 | 3 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 163 | 1 356 |
| ELO Change | -72 | +72 |
Roy Nelson controlled the striking exchanges with 40.0% vs 66.7% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Roy Nelson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Cheick Kongo | Roy Nelson |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 1:11 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 093 | 1 191 |
| ELO Change | -58 | +58 |
Roy Nelson landed 1 knockdown followed by 1 ground strike. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Cheick Kongo | Roy Nelson |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 280 | 133 |
| Activity ELO | 1 201 | 1 199 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +52 |
Roy Nelson demonstrated solid activity levels with 133 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Roy Nelson capitalized on this activity level, while Cheick Kongo's 280-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Cheick Kongo | Roy Nelson |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 095 | 1 103 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +31 |
Roy Nelson extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Cheick Kongo is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Cheick Kongo | Roy Nelson |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 070 | 1 076 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.