March 15, 2024
Women's Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chelsea Chandler | Josiane Nunes |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 080 | 1 080 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -39 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Chelsea Chandler | Josiane Nunes |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 025 | 1 034 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chelsea Chandler | Josiane Nunes |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 114 | 1 109 |
| ELO Change | +54 | -54 |
Chelsea Chandler earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Chelsea Chandler | Josiane Nunes |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 58 | 47 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 130 | 105 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 100 | 49 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 077 | 1 136 |
| ELO Change | +48 | -48 |
Chelsea Chandler dominated the striking exchanges with 100 vs 49 total strikes, 58 vs 47 significant strikes. Chelsea Chandler capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Chelsea Chandler | Josiane Nunes |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 7:02 | 0:26 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 13 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 073 | 960 |
| ELO Change | +97 | -97 |
Chelsea Chandler controlled Josiane Nunes on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 7:02 of control time, 13 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Chelsea Chandler | Josiane Nunes |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 246 | 420 |
| Activity ELO | 1 036 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -25 |
Chelsea Chandler demonstrated standard activity with 246 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Chelsea Chandler capitalized on this activity level, while Josiane Nunes's 420-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chelsea Chandler | Josiane Nunes |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 030 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -25 |
Chelsea Chandler started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Josiane Nunes is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chelsea Chandler | Josiane Nunes |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Bantamweight | Women's Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 025 | 1 034 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.