August 9, 2024
Women's Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chelsea Chandler | Yana Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | -6 | 6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 043 | 1 053 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +37 |
Yana Santos's 6-fight experience advantage (10 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Yana Santos for the expected result. Had Chelsea Chandler pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Chelsea Chandler | Yana Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 002 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chelsea Chandler | Yana Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 065 | 1 108 |
| ELO Change | -49 | +49 |
Yana Santos earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Chelsea Chandler | Yana Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 56 | 94 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 124 | 135 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 73 | 135 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 990 | 1 065 |
| ELO Change | -87 | +87 |
Yana Santos dominated the striking exchanges with 135 vs 73 total strikes, 94 vs 56 significant strikes, 69.6% vs 45.2% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Yana Santos capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Chelsea Chandler | Yana Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:41 | 1:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 045 | 973 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Yana Santos did not secure a significant ground advantage against Chelsea Chandler on the ground with 1:00 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Chelsea Chandler | Yana Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 147 | 406 |
| Activity ELO | 1 015 | 1 058 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +19 |
Yana Santos demonstrated extended layoff with 406 days since her last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Yana Santos capitalized on this activity level, while Chelsea Chandler's 147-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chelsea Chandler | Yana Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 008 | 1 033 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +25 |
Yana Santos started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Chelsea Chandler is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chelsea Chandler | Yana Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Bantamweight | Women's Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 002 | 1 014 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.