April 5, 2024
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chepe Mariscal | Morgan Charriere |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 135 | 997 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Chepe Mariscal | Morgan Charriere |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 064 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chepe Mariscal | Morgan Charriere |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 147 | 1 081 |
| ELO Change | +9 | -9 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Chepe Mariscal receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Chepe Mariscal | Morgan Charriere |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 71 | 49 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 137 | 104 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 121 | 75 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 143 | 1 080 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Chepe Mariscal controlled the striking exchanges with 121 vs 75 total strikes, 71 vs 49 significant strikes. Chepe Mariscal capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Chepe Mariscal | Morgan Charriere |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 8 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:38 | 3:42 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 9 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 175 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Chepe Mariscal edged out Morgan Charriere on the ground with 1 takedown, 3:38 of control time, 9 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Chepe Mariscal | Morgan Charriere |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 210 | 217 |
| Activity ELO | 1 113 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -17 |
Chepe Mariscal demonstrated standard activity with 210 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Chepe Mariscal capitalized on this activity level, while Morgan Charriere's 217-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chepe Mariscal | Morgan Charriere |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 076 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -19 |
Chepe Mariscal extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Morgan Charriere is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chepe Mariscal | Morgan Charriere |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 064 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.