September 16, 2022
Middleweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chidi Njokuani | Gregory Rodrigues |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 069 | 1 098 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +35 |
Gregory Rodrigues's 2-fight experience advantage (5 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Gregory Rodrigues for the expected result. Had Chidi Njokuani pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Chidi Njokuani | Gregory Rodrigues |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 019 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chidi Njokuani | Gregory Rodrigues |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:27 | 1:27 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 174 | 1 305 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +85 |
Gregory Rodrigues gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Chidi Njokuani | Gregory Rodrigues |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 44 | 48 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 65 | 90 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 47 | 60 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 147 | 1 333 |
| ELO Change | -84 | +84 |
Gregory Rodrigues controlled the striking exchanges with 53.3% vs 67.7% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Gregory Rodrigues capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Chidi Njokuani | Gregory Rodrigues |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:40 | 1:14 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 7 |
| Ground ELO | 1 019 | 1 182 |
| ELO Change | -48 | +48 |
Gregory Rodrigues landed 1 knockdown followed by 7 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Chidi Njokuani | Gregory Rodrigues |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 119 | 91 |
| Activity ELO | 1 053 | 1 161 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +46 |
Gregory Rodrigues demonstrated solid activity levels with 91 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Gregory Rodrigues capitalized on this activity level, while Chidi Njokuani's 119-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chidi Njokuani | Gregory Rodrigues |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 025 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +25 |
Gregory Rodrigues extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Chidi Njokuani is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chidi Njokuani | Gregory Rodrigues |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 019 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

