August 25, 2023
Middleweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chidi Njokuani | Michal Oleksiejczuk |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | -7 | 7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 009 | 1 130 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Michal Oleksiejczuk's 7-fight experience advantage (12 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Michal Oleksiejczuk for the expected result. Had Chidi Njokuani pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Chidi Njokuani | Michal Oleksiejczuk |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 979 | 1 057 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chidi Njokuani | Michal Oleksiejczuk |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:16 | 4:16 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 127 | 1 310 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +69 |
Michal Oleksiejczuk earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:16, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Chidi Njokuani | Michal Oleksiejczuk |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 29 | 44 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 57 | 72 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 30 | 54 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 068 | 1 312 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +36 |
Michal Oleksiejczuk controlled the striking exchanges with 54 vs 30 total strikes, 44 vs 29 significant strikes, 61.1% vs 50.9% accuracy. Michal Oleksiejczuk capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Chidi Njokuani | Michal Oleksiejczuk |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:09 | 1:36 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 23 |
| Ground ELO | 883 | 998 |
| ELO Change | -65 | +65 |
Michal Oleksiejczuk controlled Chidi Njokuani on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:36 of control time, 23 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Chidi Njokuani | Michal Oleksiejczuk |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 154 | 119 |
| Activity ELO | 1 016 | 1 193 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +34 |
Michal Oleksiejczuk demonstrated solid activity levels with 119 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Michal Oleksiejczuk capitalized on this activity level, while Chidi Njokuani's 154-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chidi Njokuani | Michal Oleksiejczuk |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 985 | 1 077 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +19 |
Michal Oleksiejczuk started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Chidi Njokuani is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chidi Njokuani | Michal Oleksiejczuk |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 978 | 1 057 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.