March 29, 2024
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chidi Njokuani | Rhys McKee |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 033 | 906 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Chidi Njokuani's 2-fight experience advantage (6 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Chidi Njokuani for the expected result. Had Rhys McKee pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Chidi Njokuani | Rhys McKee |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 998 | 925 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chidi Njokuani | Rhys McKee |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 132 | 907 |
| ELO Change | +5 | -5 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Chidi Njokuani receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Chidi Njokuani | Rhys McKee |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 64 | 30 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 98 | 93 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 96 | 40 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 087 | 832 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
Chidi Njokuani dominated the striking exchanges with 96 vs 40 total strikes, 64 vs 30 significant strikes, 65.3% vs 32.3% accuracy. Chidi Njokuani capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Chidi Njokuani | Rhys McKee |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:53 | 6:41 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 901 | 815 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
Chidi Njokuani did not secure a significant ground advantage against Rhys McKee on the ground with 0:53 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Chidi Njokuani | Rhys McKee |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 218 | 211 |
| Activity ELO | 1 037 | 933 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -17 |
Chidi Njokuani demonstrated standard activity with 218 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Chidi Njokuani capitalized on this activity level, while Rhys McKee's 211-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chidi Njokuani | Rhys McKee |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 005 | 926 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -19 |
Chidi Njokuani started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Rhys McKee is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chidi Njokuani | Rhys McKee |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 997 | 925 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

