September 9, 2022
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Chris Barnett | Jake Collier |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | -8 | 8 |
| Experience ELO | 1 015 | 941 |
| ELO Change | +49 | -32 |
Chris Barnett overcame a 8-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 12 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Jake Collier.
| Metric | Chris Barnett | Jake Collier |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 001 | 964 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Chris Barnett | Jake Collier |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:24 | 2:24 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 135 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | +100 | -49 |
Chris Barnett gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Barnett | Jake Collier |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 54 | 51 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 98 | 98 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 83 | 57 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 017 | 897 |
| ELO Change | +58 | -58 |
Chris Barnett edged the striking exchanges with 83 vs 57 total strikes. Chris Barnett capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Chris Barnett | Jake Collier |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:07 | 1:26 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 28 | 10 |
| Ground ELO | 968 | 976 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Chris Barnett did not secure a significant ground advantage against Jake Collier on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1:07 of control time, 28 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Chris Barnett | Jake Collier |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 147 | 133 |
| Activity ELO | 1 055 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | +47 | -24 |
Chris Barnett demonstrated solid activity levels with 147 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Chris Barnett capitalized on this activity level, while Jake Collier's 133-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Chris Barnett | Jake Collier |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 009 | 976 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -22 |
Chris Barnett started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jake Collier is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Chris Barnett | Jake Collier |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 000 | 963 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.